Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 1.913046 2.198364 2.515359 2.894303 3.335828 3.835032 4.443652
2025-04-20 1.521778 1.913187 2.392175 3.024468 3.841671 4.868244 6.264992
2025-04-27 1.265208 1.688171 2.240202 3.019409 4.100517 5.561438 7.708733
2025-05-04 1.123517 1.573623 2.192888 3.116798 4.476872 6.431405 9.499785
2025-05-11 0.992968 1.448709 2.104289 3.129647 4.717785 7.124937 11.127867
2025-05-18 0.889285 1.344933 2.026703 3.138788 4.941586 7.808782 12.833589
2025-05-25 0.782422 1.220969 1.900132 3.049681 4.989931 8.210881 14.127995
2025-06-01 0.721316 1.159844 1.861770 3.092983 5.254028 8.994815 16.192875
2025-06-08 0.674776 1.115958 1.844425 3.166068 5.573909 9.912295 18.641871
2025-06-15 0.623105 1.057163 1.794442 3.174053 5.775165 10.638768 20.841251
2025-06-22 0.565695 0.982069 1.707589 3.103746 5.819487 11.072593 22.522789
2025-06-29 0.521948 0.926416 1.648788 3.077173 5.941419 11.668916 24.633782
2025-07-06 0.466931 0.849734 1.552746 2.986429 5.962864 12.145898 26.765920
2025-07-13 0.443956 0.831127 1.565050 3.115493 6.465265 13.737037 31.826842
2025-07-20 0.408474 0.783911 1.515685 3.110497 6.680329 14.740693 35.729888
2025-07-27 0.388094 0.763722 1.516829 3.211066 7.143511 16.389748 41.636220
2025-08-03 0.361442 0.727566 1.480617 3.224337 7.408037 17.618231 46.747732
2025-08-10 0.337318 0.693812 1.445162 3.233778 7.664466 18.874525 52.255388
2025-08-17 0.307503 0.644620 1.370599 3.141751 7.655719 19.451002 55.954658
2025-08-24 0.291201 0.623024 1.354350 3.186471 8.002078 21.035972 63.114571
2025-08-31 0.278462 0.607912 1.350882 3.261953 8.442437 22.968452 71.913786
2025-09-07 0.262302 0.583255 1.322404 3.270200 8.702297 24.440098 79.622780
2025-09-14 0.242608 0.548352 1.265756 3.197586 8.724222 25.214972 85.164202